The Large Planet of Jupiter are in control of Beans

TRADING IN COMMODITY FUTURES OR OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Commodity ETF's have broken Trend

In the fable of the Chicken en the Egg, I believe the egg is the ETF's. Their out-side influence is supple at times but does have on impact of contract purchased and sold on the futures. Seasonal lows in Oct for most commodities and stocks or obvious to all, most trends have been broken in Oct.

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TRADING IN COMMODITY FUTURES OR OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Soybean Planet Alignment

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Soybean 60 min Chart, Parallel Trends

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Iowa wind damage

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Soybean Seasonal Charts is turning down

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Soybean still chopping waiting for their turn! Comments

Soybean: Soybean Complex Market Recap

July Soybeans finished down 18 1/2 at 1330 1/4, 21 1/2 off the high and 9 3/4 up from the low. November Soybeans closed down 17 1/4 at 1332 1/2. This was 8 3/4 up from the low and 21 1/4 off the high. July Soymeal closed down 4.6 at 347.1. This was 2.1 up from the low and 6.0 off the high. July Soybean Oil finished down 0.45 at 56.15, 0.46 off the high and 0.58 up from the low. The soybean market closed sharply lower on the session as aggressive fund selling in corn and wheat kept the market down late in the day. Fund selling emerged in the other grains and this pushed July under Fridays lows and this added to the selling pressures to drive the market to the lowest level since May 17th. Traders seemed to have less confidence in longer-term weather outlook calling for hot weather to move into the western and central Corn Belt for early July. Traders believe a few days of hot and dry weather for the central and eastern Corn Belt will be beneficial at this stage of the growing season. Traders see Canadian canola planted area up about 1.5 million acres from last year (16.8 million acres last year) for the report update for release on Thursday morning but many believe the government forecast will be overstating plantings due to rain delays. Meal was down just slightly on the session today as oil led the market lower due to a sharp break in palm oil futures overnight. Traders will also be monitoring the monthly Census crush report and weekly export sales news ahead of the opening.

Alex Andresen | Owner of Advantage Futures Inc. |
785-825-5102 | alex@cotlive.com | http://www.cotlive.com/Main.htm

 

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SOYBEAN COMMENTS WITH 60 MIN CHART

Soybean: Pre-Opening Soy Complex Market Report

July soybeans were up 1 3/4 cents late in the overnight session. Chinese soybean futures were down 0.1% overnight, and Malaysian palm futures were up 0.5%. Outside market forces look negative today, as a sharp jump in the US dollar and weaker energy and metal markets could pressure prices. A lack of a negative reaction in China's commodity markets after tightening measures by their Central Bank plus ther soybean market's recovery from a sharp break yesterday helped to support a bounce in futures overnight, despite a sharp rise in the US dollar. One of the major concerns for commodity markets in recent weeks has been the possibility of weakening demand from China. However, the economic news of strong retail sales (up 16.9%) and industrial production (up 13.3%) helped to ease those fears and provide some underlying support. China's soybean production is expected to reach just 14.3 million tonnes this year, down from 15.2 million last year, and this should boost import demand to 58 million tonnes from 54 million this season. India imported 664,133 tonnes of vegetable oil in May, which was up 18.8% from last year and up from 475,123 tonnes in April. For the first 7 months of the season, India has imported 4.3 million tonnes, 10% below last season's pace. Yesterday July soybeans broke out below the recent trading range to move to their lowest level since May 18th., but the market managed to recover near half of the day's losses with a late bounce. Talk of good weather for the Midwest soybean crop for the next week, weakness in corn and ideas that China will continue to tighten monetary policy were all factors to help drive the market sharply lower. Planting progress jumped to 87% complete this week from 68% last week, and the crop was rated 67% in good to excellent condition. Crops in the south are rated lower due to dry and hot weather there over the past few weeks. There remains a hot and dry outlook for the delta, and this has helped provide some underlying support. Ideas that any corn not planted yet may shift to soybeans has been a negative force. For the NOPA report, monthly crush for May came in at 120.3 million bushels, below trade expectations near 121.5 million and below the April crush at 121.3 million bushels. Soybean oil saw lows early yesterday and closed mixed to slightly lower, while meal closed sharply lower on the session. South Korea is tendering for 30,000 tonnes of non-GMO soybeans.

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Soybeans are making a bottom at $14???

July Soybeans finished down 7 3/4 at 1393 3/4, 19 1/2 off the high and 7 1/2 up from the low. November Soybeans closed down 5 3/4 at 1386 3/4. This was 9 1/2 up from the low and 17 1/4 off the high. July Soymeal closed up 0.1 at 372.9. This was 3.5 up from the low and 6.4 off the high. July Soybean Oil finished down 0.54 at 57.4, 0.74 off the high and 0.32 up from the low. The market closed lower with an inside trading day. The USDA Supply/demand report was considered bearish for soybeans but the market managed to push higher early led by a surge in corn. The market quickly retreated to trade lower on day. US ending stocks for the 2010/11 season were pegged at 180 million bushels as compared with 170 million last month and trade expectations of near 175-180 million. The USDA lowered exports by 10 million bushels for this season and 20 million bushels for the 2011/12 season. New crop ending stocks were pegged at 190 million bushels which was about 20 million bushels higher than expected and 30 million above last month. Total demand for the new crop season was revised to 3.29 billion bushels, down 20 million from last month and down 25 million from this year. There were no revisions in acreage or yield. World ending stocks for the 2010/11 season were revised higher to 64.53 million tonnes from 63.81 million last month and 60.94 million two months ago. Brazil production was revised to 74.5 mmt from 73 million tonnes last month. China import demand slipped to 54 million tonnes from 54.5 million last month and 57 million two months ago. For 2011/2012, world ending stocks are pegged at 61.59 million tonnes. China demand is pegged at 58 million tonnes. Net weekly export sales for soybeans came in at 120,541 metric tonnes for the current marketing year and 100 for the next marketing year for a total of 120,641. As of June 2nd, cumulative soybean sales stand at 99.4% of the USDA forecast for 2010/2011 (current) marketing year versus a 5 year average of 95.4%. Meal sales came in at 60,500 metric tonnes to push cumulative soybean meal sales to 84.4% of the USDA forecast for 2010/2011 (current) marketing year versus a 5 year average of 79.4%. Oil sales came in at 10,100 metric tonnes which pushed cumulative soybean oil sales to 83.9% of the USDA forecast versus a 5 year average of 65.3%. For soybean oil in the supply/demand update, beginning stocks for the 2011/12 season came in 350 million pounds higher than last month. As a result, a 200 million pound increase in the export forecast failed to offset the higher beginning stocks and ending stocks are now pegged at 2.158 billion pounds from, up 150 million from last months estimate but down from 2.823 billion this season and 3.358 billion last year. The weather outlook appears favorable for Midwest soybeans already planted with cooler weather but rains for Indiana and Ohio could keep the plantings pace slow. Traders remain nervous with harsh weather in the delta and southeast with hot and dry weather to persist.

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Soybean, Corn, Wheat, Cotton, Hogs & Cattle comments

Soybean futures closed mostly 10 1/4 to 14 1/4 cents higher, which was near session highs. Meal futures also posted solid gains, while soyoil futures were mildly lower. Trading volume was active. Futures were supported by short-covering on ideas Monday's sharp losses were overdone. Concerns with planting delays and acreage were also supportive.

 

Corn futures were supported throughout the day by acreage concerns and dollar weakness, closing 4 1/2 to 11 cents higher. New-crop futures led gains amid bull spread unwinding. Yesterday's crop progress report showed around 5.5 million intended corn acres remain unplanted at this late date.

 

Wheat futures ended steady to 10 1/4 cents lower in Chicago, mostly 8 1/2 to 15 1/2 cents lower in Kansas City and 3 1/2 to 57 1/4 cents lower in Minneapolis. Bear spread unwinding was featured at all three exchanges today with July Minneapolis futures pacing losses. After yesterday's late collapse, the lead-month Minneapolis contract faced heavy selling pressure today.

 

Cotton futures faced sharp price pressure today, with the July through December contracts closing the 700-point daily limit lower. March through October 2012 contracts closed 336 to 587 points lower. Floor sources say today's sharply lower price action was the result of technical-based selling.

 

Lean hog futures closed sharply higher in all but the June contract, which ended 7 1/2 cents lower. June lean hog futures were anchored near unchanged today by weakness in the cash and product markets despite strong buying in deferred contracts and the discount the contract holds to the cash index.

 

Live cattle futures closed steady (in extreme far-deferred contracts) to $1.52 1/2 higher. Feeder cattle futures closed $1.00 to $1.20 higher. Following yesterday's sharp losses, traders returned to the market to cover short positions. The recent consolidation phase is a sign of bottoming, but there's a lot of work to do before a technical bottom can be declared.

 

 

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Soybean Comments

Soybean futures started the overnight session with slight gains, but deteriorated through overnight trade and during the daytime session. Soybeans closed 18 1/2 to 31 1/4 cents lower, with nearby contracts leading losses. Futures posted a low-range close, which gives bears momentum heading into overnight trade. 
 
Corn futures ended 16 to 22 cents lower in all but extreme far-deferred contracts, which was near the bottom of today's range. That gives bears strong momentum heading into overnight trade. Corn futures were pressured by weather today. On the weather front, traders feel recent hot, dry conditions have allowed much of the intended corn acres in the far eastern Corn Belt to get seeded. 
 
Wheat futures posted sharp losses at all three exchanges and ended near session lows. Chicago wheat closed 19 1/4 to 20 3/4 cents lower, with Kansas City down 24 1/4 to 30 1/4 cents. Minneapolis wheat closed 18 1/2 to 30 3/4 cents lower. Strength in the dollar triggered selling, with additional pressure coming as traders took more weather premium out of the market after more beneficial rains moved across dry areas of Europe over the weekend. 
 
July cotton futures ended down the full 600 point daily trading limit. The October through March contracts ended 100 to 177 points lower, which was well off session lows. Cotton futures started firmer, but got caught up in the broad-based downturn in the commodity sector today. 
 
Lean hog futures favored a weaker tone in choppy trade. June hogs closed 47 1/2 cents higher, with the rest of the market down 2 1/2 to 65 cents. Pressure on June hogs was limited by the discount the contract holds to the cash index, which spurred light short-covering. The index is projected up 29 cents to stand at $91.83 tomorrow and June lean hogs hold around a $2 discount to the index.
 
Live cattle futures tumbled into the close to finish sharply lower and on or near session lows. Feeder cattle futures reversed course after strong early gains and finished under pressure. Selling interest gradually built in the live cattle market on spillover from outside markets.
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July Soybeans 60 min chart, Moons, Parallel Mathematical Channels

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Current Soybean Charts, Daily & Weekly

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TRADING IN COMMODITY FUTURES OR OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS..

ETF Ag Stock are bullish

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Mathematics and spot daily Beans

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Soybeans Weekly working the WD Gann squares

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ETFs have corrected

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Jupiter - Saturn Conjunctions on Soybeans

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Alex Andresen | Owner of Advantage Futures Inc. |
785-825-5102 | alex@cotlive.com | http://www.cotlive.com/Main.htm

W.D. Gann Square of the Range on Spot Soybeans

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Ag ETF have broken up Trend Support on High Volume

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JULY MEAL vs JULY BEANOIL contract value

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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GRAIN INDEX FOR JULY

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Soybeans Money Managers (CTA's)

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Soybeans CFTC COT data on Commercial Hedgers

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July Daily Bean Con't

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Spread of Meal vs Bean Oil The bull needs Meal to lead.

July Meal Vs July Bean Oil, this chart is plotted using the contract value. 

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Soybeans Monthly, Degrees of the Circle from WD Gann

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Soybean Projection into the Fall Equinox of 2012

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Soybean daily chart, using Square of Gann

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Ag ETF's showing their hand

Keeping an eye on the Ag ETF's to give any clues of the futures ag markets seasonal decline into Feburary.  This week we do have some ETF's with weekly key reversals on big spike volume.  It smells like a correction could be in order.  One should by new though in Beans Corn and Wheat on a close bases Monday.

Soybeans Blog Topic: __W. D. Gann Soybean Charts___
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Corn Spreads are showing the bullish hand

Blog Alert from http://www.wdmatrix.com
Using WD Gann Methodology
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Time and Price on Weekly Soybeans

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